Exit cold winter forces return large quantities of small companies, but obtain employment situation is overall and stable

The data that the government and civilian orgnaization released respectively recently, point to domestic manufacturing industry to confront the reality in the winter jointly. Fortunately this one situation is returned temporarily unapt affect obtain employment is stabilized.

Manufacturing industry purchases manager index to go low

Content shedding of national statistic bureau and China and purchase federation to was announced jointly a few days ago, chinese manufacturing industry purchased manager index August (PMI) for 48.4% .

This is this index afterwards after July, successive two months maintain in 50% the following.

Manufacturing industry purchases manager index is the macroscopical economy with general international monitors quota system, to national economy activity monitor and forecast have main effect. If the index is in 50% above, economy of reflective manufacturing industry is overall and outspread; Under 50% , reflect manufacturing industry economy normally overall decline.

Lyons negotiable securities is newest report of issuance Chinese manufacturing industry, what show the closest a few months as much is fatigued and weak go situation. This report points out, the manufacturing industry August purchases manager index for 49.2% , under 53.3% July, this is atrophy appears first since November 2005 oneself.

The newest research report of Hu Yuexiao of researcher of Shanghai negotiable securities also shows, august of the enterprise purchase quantity, new order, existing order goods and output already fell to since 2005 new low. He thinks, look from state of battalion of already of look forward to and manufactured goods stocks, foreground is not valued, prospective industry production is added fast still put delay likely. And although the sale is short-term inside insusceptible, also can show growth to put delay sign with bright the beginning of the year in the end of the year.

Be aimed at PMI data, chen Naixing of researcher of macroscopical economy institute is opposite courtyard of Chinese company division " daily of the first finance and economics " express, this accords with the condition with Chinese current economy basically. He thinks, arrived 2006 the exit that 2007 is China is the most prosperous period, the export order performance first half of the year is good this year, main by the inertial action that exported fast growth last year, arrived 7, August, order problem is shown eventually come out.

Chen Naixing still says: "Short-term inside anabiosis evidence may see very hard, this is because of international United States of system of 3 old economy, European Union and Japan exist on one hand decline evidence; On the other hand, home's current economic atmosphere, if do not have active policy support, very difficult also hopeful. Very difficult also hopeful..
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